Preparing Putin for Painful Concessions Means the Route Will Exist One Way or Another, Political Scientist

The pressure from the Turkish-Azerbaijani tandem on Armenia (border incidents, Aliyev's statements) aims to force Armenia into concessions while it is still weak. Political scientist Suren Sargsyan wrote on his Facebook page.

On the Syunik Corridor:

The corridor running through Syunik, which Azerbaijan aims to connect with Nakhchivan and subsequently Turkey, will have a significant impact on regional security. The crucial point is who will guarantee the security of this corridor. It is unlikely that it will be us. It will either be the Russians or the Turks. Since this corridor does not yet exist, I believe there is still no final agreement on whose troops will oversee it.

1. Naturally, the Turks want to control their own route, gain influence in Armenia, completely oversee the north-south movement, and put Iran in a dependent position.
2. The Russians also want to maintain control over the corridor, and consequently over Turkish-Azerbaijani cooperation, and to somewhat strengthen their positions.
3. The pressure from the Turkish-Azerbaijani tandem on Armenia (border incidents, Aliyev's statements) is meant to force Armenia into concessions while it is still weak.
4. Preparing Putin for painful concessions means that the route will exist one way or another alongside the demarcation work. Meanwhile, I believe the Russians are also trying to buy time, considering their own issues. It is complicated even for a superpower like Russia to serve its interests in Europe, Ukraine, Belarus, Georgia, Artsakh, the Middle East, Central Asia, and elsewhere. At times, they need to wait, and at other times they need to organize tactical retreats against the backdrop of economic problems and internal political tensions.
5. I do not rule out that as a result of negotiations, it could be the Turks who emerge, since they, unlike the Russians, did not have an armed presence in the region after the war, despite their significant desire. Maybe they will also be there to balance the Russian presence.