Signing of Major Peace Agreement Between Armenia and Azerbaijan: Signing of Armenian-Turkish Reconciliation Agreement - What is the 'Final Station' of All This? - Suren Sargsyan

Political analyst Suren Sargsyan has analyzed possible scenarios that may arise from regional developments and imposed on Armenia: “What is the 'final station' of all this?”

Regional developments outline one of the following possible scenarios that could soon be 'presented' to us:

Regarding Azerbaijan:
1. Signing of a major peace agreement between Armenia and Azerbaijan, which will include:
- Recognition of Azerbaijan's territorial integrity.
- Abandoning territorial claims against Azerbaijan.
- Establishment of diplomatic relations and opening borders.
- Clarification of the Armenia-Azerbaijan border (principally at the expense of Armenian territory).
- I do not exclude that Armenia may be obliged to have no army at all, only possessing a small police force (similar to the capitulated Japan post-World War II).

Regarding Turkey:
1. Signing of an Armenian-Turkish reconciliation agreement, which will foresee:
- Abandoning claims of genocide, recognition of Turkey's territorial integrity, and renouncing territorial claims.
- Editing of Armenia's declaration of independence, removing the image of Ararat from the coat of arms.
- Opening of borders and establishing diplomatic relations.
- Ceding a corridor connecting Turkey to Azerbaijan.
- Exclusion of any foreign military presence in Armenia that may threaten the security of Turkey or Azerbaijan.

In exchange for all this, we will be promised an influx of Turkish-Azerbaijani capital, which will mainly manifest itself not as 'large investments' but rather as 'economic expansion', similar to the example of Georgia.

I reiterate, this is one of the possible scenarios, the implementation of which also depends on the course of the global Eastern-Western competition in the South Caucasus and Black Sea regions.