Ukraine Has No Alternative: Surrender Will Be Inevitable in a Few Months, Political Scientist Says
Ukraine has no alternative. In a few months, surrender will become inevitable. This was stated by political scientist Suren Surenyan.
“Recent leaks indicate that the US's '28-point' peace plan offers Ukraine American security guarantees, but in exchange requires heavy and sensitive concessions. According to the published data, the program includes:
- Recognition of Crimea, Donetsk, and Luhansk as de facto under Russian control,
- Freezing the front lines in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia and demilitarization of certain areas,
- Ukraine's withdrawal from NATO membership and reduction of its armed forces,
- Extensive reconstruction support from the West, including the involvement of frozen Russian assets,
- Phased easing of sanctions against Russia linked to the implementation of the agreement.
Washington is constructing a peace model where American security involvement is compensated by territorial, military, and foreign policy restrictions on Ukraine.
The official statement regarding the recently concluded US-Ukraine negotiations in Geneva emphasizes a 'constructive atmosphere', 'significant progress', and 'clarification of next steps', yet remains silent about the most critical points of the plan's content.
This circumstance indicates that:
- the most sensitive provisions have not yet been agreed upon,
- the negotiations have shifted to a realm of secrecy and controlled information.
The Geneva statement documents the process more than it reveals the actual discussions.
Most European countries view the initiative with caution, as it is seen as:
- de facto legitimization of Russia's territorial gains,
- weakening Ukraine's defense capacity,
- setting a precedent in international law for legitimizing changes to borders through force,
- the emphasis is placed on US-Russia agreements, leaving the EU and its liberal-globalist elites sidelined.
The situation is also complicated in Ukraine. Any territorial concession could trigger a serious internal political crisis, as public sentiment is clearly opposed to accepting peace at the cost of territorial losses. As a result, the government is caught between limited resources for continuing the war and the high cost of peace.
In summary, Ukraine fundamentally has no alternative: in a few months, the country may face a harsher solution, the danger of capitulation,” the political scientist wrote.