Military

This Deal Could End the War in Gaza: CNN

This Deal Could End the War in Gaza: CNN

More than half a year has passed, but finally, President Joe Biden has publicly announced the Israeli plan that could put an end to the bloodshed in Gaza.

One aspect pertains to the complete capitulation of the enemy, which occurred after the United States dropped atomic bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki, leading to Japan's surrender and thereby ending World War II. Another facet is that fighters recognize the "mutual exclusive stalemate situation" as a precursor to the signing of a deal, in which, undoubtedly, we currently find ourselves in Gaza.

However, it is far from a given that both sides will genuinely agree to a peace plan and begin to implement it. The fact that the terms of the deal have been announced could even be a bad sign, as in negotiations, terms are often kept secret until a solid agreement is achieved.

Moreover, Hamas military leader Yahya Sinwar and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu have their reasons for potentially prolonging the conflict. Every civilian casualty in Gaza undermines Israel's standing in the world, while Netanyahu faces internal political challenges—issues that are likely to worsen just one day after the weapons are laid down.

Nevertheless, it is unlikely that the Israelis will ever achieve Netanyahu’s goal of a "complete victory" over Hamas. According to Politico, only one-third of Hamas militants have been killed after seven months of war, while the Gaza Health Ministry reports that approximately 36,000 Palestinians have been killed during the conflict. (Other sources report the death toll at least 24,000 people. In any case, the number of casualties is substantial.)

To achieve complete victory, Netanyahu would need to wage a seemingly endless war in which tens of thousands of Palestinians would perish, while Israel’s isolation would intensify globally—with around 140 countries currently recognizing Palestinian statehood, and the International Criminal Court investigating whether to issue an arrest warrant for the Israeli Prime Minister.

As the war continues in Gaza, Israel's aspirations to normalize relations with the Arab world will collapse. It is important to note that the war is also gradually losing backing from Israel's most crucial ally, the United States. According to Gallup, support for the Gaza war among Americans dropped from 50% in early November to 36% in March. (In light of the upcoming elections in November, Biden and his team are undoubtedly aware that growing support for the Gaza war diminishes their chances in swing states like Michigan.)

Netanyahu's public criticism, articulated in March by Senate Majority Leader, Democrat Senator Chuck Schumer, was a significant blow for him. As the highest-ranking official of Jewish descent in U.S. history, Schumer has long been a staunch supporter of Israel. However, speaking on the Senate floor, Schumer condemned Netanyahu, stating that he has shown "no interest in making the bold and visionary efforts necessary to pave the way for peace, even amid the current conflict."

Schumer essentially warned Israelis that the bipartisan American coalition that has supported Israel since President Harry Truman first recognized the Jewish state is collapsing. In the long term, this would be quite detrimental for Israel, as young Americans protesting against the Gaza war today will become middle-aged voters tomorrow.

This is reported by CNN.

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