The Risks of Ground Warfare in Iran Are Increasing: The Economist

The Economist has assessed the risks of potential ground military operations in Iran, drawing attention to the historical experiences of such scenarios. According to the publication, ground wars conducted in Asia have often turned into prolonged and complicated conflicts for the United States, as seen in Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan.

The publication notes that the current situation is contradictory: on one hand, U.S. President Donald Trump speaks of the end of military operations, while on the other hand, a potential ground invasion of Iran cannot be ruled out. It is mentioned that thousands of soldiers have been sent to the region, and the island of Kharg has also been considered a possible target.

According to the analysis, Kharg Island holds significant strategic importance, as approximately 90 percent of Iran's oil exports pass through it. Historically, this site has been considered a potential target at various times, and in some cases, it has come under attack.

The Economist also highlights that control over the island could significantly restrict Iran's oil exports, which currently amount to around 2.4 to 2.8 million barrels per day. At the same time, the publication emphasizes that Iran is currently generating substantial revenues from those exports, contrary to earlier forecasts.